Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.3%). Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Acciari 51.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 67.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 71.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Lizotte
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lizotte
Acciari
Last 9: Lizotte 4-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Lizotte
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
52.8% (3,276)
-1.2%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
48.2% (85)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
47.1% (1,061)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Acciari
Home
49.5% (1,840)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Lizotte
Acciari
P1
48.0%
52.2%
P2
52.3%
51.5%
P3
50.5%
50.5%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |