Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Acciari 50.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 53.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 54.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 54.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Lizotte
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
Acciari
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Lizotte
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Lizotte
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
53.1% (147)
-1.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
100.0% (2)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
23.5% (17)
+27.4%
On power play, Acciari has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Acciari is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Acciari
Home
52.5% (326)
66.7% (33)
Away
50.5% (281)
46.6% (133)
By Period
Lizotte
Acciari
P1
51.4%
50.0%
P2
56.3%
49.1%
P3
46.1%
52.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |