Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Brown 54.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Brown leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 79.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 54.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Lizotte
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lizotte
Brown
Last 10: Lizotte 4-6 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Brown
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
4
Lizotte
Brown
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
Lizotte
Brown
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
56.5% (726)
-4.9%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
62.5% (8)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
47.8% (136)
-5.5%
On power play, Brown has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Brown
Home
49.5% (1,840)
57.4% (364)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Lizotte
Brown
P1
48.0%
51.4%
P2
52.3%
54.6%
P3
50.5%
58.8%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |