Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Brown 56.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 69.2%
Defensive zone
Brown 79.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 66.0%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Lizotte
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
Brown
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Brown
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Lizotte
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
61.3% (336)
-10.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (4)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
45.9% (74)
+5.0%
On power play, Lizotte has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Brown
Home
52.5% (326)
61.1% (180)
Away
50.5% (281)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Lizotte
Brown
P1
51.4%
57.5%
P2
56.3%
58.5%
P3
46.1%
59.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |