Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Danault 54.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 87.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 56.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 60.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Lizotte
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
Danault
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
56.5% (711)
-3.6%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
46.0% (50)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
51.7% (116)
-8.6%
On power play, Danault has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Danault
Home
44.2% (242)
57.0% (379)
Away
56.0% (234)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Lizotte
Danault
P1
49.6%
55.8%
P2
46.9%
55.3%
P3
52.6%
54.8%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |