Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Sheahan 47.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 60.9%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 77.0%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 59.8%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Lizotte
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lizotte
Sheahan
Last 6: Lizotte 2-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Sheahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
3
Lizotte
Sheahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
50.7% (357)
+0.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (8)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
40.2% (194)
+10.7%
On power play, Lizotte has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Sheahan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Sheahan
Home
52.5% (326)
44.8% (248)
Away
50.5% (281)
48.9% (311)
By Period
Lizotte
Sheahan
P1
51.4%
46.2%
P2
56.3%
50.5%
P3
46.1%
44.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |