Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.2%). Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 59.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 68.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Lizotte
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
12
(29 meetings)
17
12
Lizotte
Steel
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
5
4
Lizotte
Steel
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
8
5
Lizotte
Steel
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
3
Lizotte
Steel
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
50.6% (2,876)
+1.0%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
62.6% (179)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
37.4% (254)
+4.9%
On power play, Steel has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Steel
Home
49.5% (1,840)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Lizotte
Steel
P1
48.0%
51.9%
P2
52.3%
49.5%
P3
50.5%
49.6%
OT
75.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |