Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Steel 49.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 64.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 72.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Lizotte
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lizotte
Steel
Last 5: Lizotte 5-0 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
49.3% (383)
+2.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
59.1% (22)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
14.3% (7)
+36.6%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Steel
Home
52.5% (326)
49.4% (180)
Away
50.5% (281)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Lizotte
Steel
P1
51.4%
51.9%
P2
56.3%
43.8%
P3
46.1%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |