Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Steel 52.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 66.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 55.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 71.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Lizotte
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lizotte
Steel
Last 10: Lizotte 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
2
Lizotte
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
51.6% (401)
+1.6%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
66.7% (39)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
44.4% (9)
-16.4%
On power play, Steel has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lizotte is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Lizotte shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Steel
Home
46.9% (177)
55.8% (206)
Away
54.8% (177)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Lizotte
Steel
P1
42.3%
57.0%
P2
51.8%
50.7%
P3
60.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |