Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Reedy 44.4% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 87.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 84.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Lizotte
Reedy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lizotte
Reedy
Last 9: Lizotte 6-3 Reedy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Reedy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Reedy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
2
Lizotte
Reedy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Reedy
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
39.7% (116)
+11.9%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
50.0% (14)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
0.0% (2)
+42.3%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reedy shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Reedy is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Reedy
Home
49.5% (1,840)
55.1% (49)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
31.3% (83)
By Period
Lizotte
Reedy
P1
48.0%
38.6%
P2
52.3%
40.0%
P3
50.5%
41.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Reedy
40.0%▬
40.2%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Scott Reedy |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Scott Reedy |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Scott Reedy |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |