Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Couturier 53.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 91.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 59.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 66.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Lizotte
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lizotte
Couturier
Last 7: Lizotte 5-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
54.3% (845)
-1.4%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
62.5% (72)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
51.8% (249)
-8.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Couturier
Home
44.2% (242)
51.1% (562)
Away
56.0% (234)
57.3% (604)
By Period
Lizotte
Couturier
P1
49.6%
55.5%
P2
46.9%
54.4%
P3
52.6%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Couturier
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |