Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Couturier 55.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 94.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 68.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 72.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Lizotte
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lizotte
Couturier
Last 9: Lizotte 7-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
1
Lizotte
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
55.1% (1,008)
-1.6%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
64.1% (142)
-64.1%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
53.3% (45)
-14.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +64.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Couturier
Home
52.0% (198)
58.1% (609)
Away
49.7% (149)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Lizotte
Couturier
P1
50.0%
55.3%
P2
50.9%
55.8%
P3
52.2%
57.4%
OT
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |