Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Jost 42.2% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 67.9%
Defensive zone
Jost 54.9%
Neutral zone
Jost 53.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Lizotte
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Lizotte
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
40.8% (314)
+10.5%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
37.5% (8)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
39.4% (104)
+11.5%
On power play, Lizotte has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Jost
Home
52.5% (326)
42.8% (264)
Away
50.5% (281)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Lizotte
Jost
P1
51.4%
37.4%
P2
56.3%
40.5%
P3
46.1%
43.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |