Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Rask 46.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 69.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 70.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 59.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Lizotte
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Lizotte
Rask
Last 10: Lizotte 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
5
Lizotte
Rask
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
45.5% (442)
+7.7%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
44.7% (38)
-6.2%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Lizotte is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Lizotte shoots left. Rask is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Rask
Home
46.9% (177)
45.6% (228)
Away
54.8% (177)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Lizotte
Rask
P1
42.3%
45.1%
P2
51.8%
45.5%
P3
60.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |