Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.1%). Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 68.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 71.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.8%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Lizotte
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Lizotte
Rask
Last 10: Lizotte 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
5
Lizotte
Rask
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
2
Lizotte
Rask
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
50.0% (4,428)
+1.6%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
54.3% (363)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
35.2% (54)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Rask
Home
49.5% (1,840)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Lizotte
Rask
P1
48.0%
50.7%
P2
52.3%
48.9%
P3
50.5%
50.7%
OT
75.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Victor Rask |