Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pietila wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pietila 48.0% vs Eller 50.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pietila 72.6%
Defensive zone
Pietila 66.3%
Neutral zone
Pietila 69.9%
Result
Blake Pietila favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Pietila
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Pietila
Eller
Last 10: Pietila 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pietila
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Pietila
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
5
Pietila
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pietila
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
51.1% (10,296)
-4.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
52.8% (621)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
46.7% (1,751)
-7.8%
On power play, Pietila has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pietila is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Pietila shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Pietila
Eller
Home
47.5% (40)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
46.0% (87)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Pietila
Eller
P1
34.2%
51.2%
P2
45.7%
50.1%
P3
57.1%
50.2%
OT
100.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pietila
38.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Blake Pietila |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Blake Pietila |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |