Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Grant 52.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 90.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 54.8%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 70.2%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Wheeler
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Wheeler
Grant
Last 10: Wheeler 3-7 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
3
2
Wheeler
Grant
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
5
Wheeler
Grant
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Wheeler
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
53.7% (2,864)
-7.0%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
61.7% (175)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
46.0% (922)
-10.3%
On power play, Grant has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Grant
Home
47.5% (883)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
44.2% (822)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Wheeler
Grant
P1
45.0%
51.1%
P2
48.2%
51.5%
P3
44.5%
54.3%
OT
37.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Derek Grant |