Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 54.3% vs Malkin 48.7% (+12.7%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 63.0%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 52.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Wheeler
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (34)
47.9% (776)
+13.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
66.7% (24)
-6.0%
On even strength, Wheeler has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Wheeler is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Wheeler shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Malkin
Home
46.2% (26)
49.6% (405)
Away
72.2% (36)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Wheeler
Malkin
P1
76.9%
49.6%
P2
62.1%
47.2%
P3
50.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
76.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
61.3%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.6%