Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Compher 47.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 85.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 53.9%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 66.2%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Wheeler
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Wheeler
Compher
Last 10: Wheeler 2-8 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
3
Wheeler
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
3
Wheeler
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wheeler
Compher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
48.7% (5,716)
-2.0%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
52.6% (682)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
41.9% (1,421)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Compher
Home
47.5% (883)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
44.2% (822)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
Wheeler
Compher
P1
45.0%
49.1%
P2
48.2%
47.3%
P3
44.5%
47.4%
OT
37.5%
40.2%
Final 5 min
42.4%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |