Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wheeler wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs Dickinson 45.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 85.4%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 59.3%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 75.4%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Wheeler
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Wheeler
Dickinson
Last 8: Wheeler 5-3 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
3
Wheeler
Dickinson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
4
0
Wheeler
Dickinson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
45.5% (404)
+5.1%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
25.0% (12)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
29.0% (31)
+16.8%
On power play, Wheeler has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Wheeler is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Wheeler shoots right. Dickinson is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Dickinson
Home
52.8% (352)
50.2% (219)
Away
46.3% (300)
37.7% (228)
By Period
Wheeler
Dickinson
P1
46.8%
45.0%
P2
57.7%
41.1%
P3
44.8%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |