Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Tavares 54.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Wheeler leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 70.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 66.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Wheeler
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Wheeler
Tavares
Last 10: Wheeler 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Wheeler
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
4
2
Wheeler
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
54.0% (16,108)
-7.3%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
56.5% (4,283)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
50.6% (620)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Tavares
Home
47.5% (883)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
44.2% (822)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Wheeler
Tavares
P1
45.0%
55.0%
P2
48.2%
54.1%
P3
44.5%
54.1%
OT
37.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
42.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |