Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 50.9% vs Tavares 57.7% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 63.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Wheeler
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (104)
57.5% (914)
-3.7%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
60.5% (309)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
59.1% (22)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Wheeler is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Wheeler shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Tavares
Home
53.8% (65)
61.0% (661)
Away
49.2% (61)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Wheeler
Tavares
P1
46.2%
58.6%
P2
56.5%
57.8%
P3
51.2%
58.4%
Final 5 min
61.3%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%