Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 50.9% vs Toews 61.9% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 64.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 50.1%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 59.9%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Wheeler
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Wheeler
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Wheeler
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (104)
61.1% (650)
-7.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
71.9% (192)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
59.6% (99)
-26.3%
On power play, Toews has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Wheeler is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Wheeler shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Toews
Home
53.8% (65)
64.8% (560)
Away
49.2% (61)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Wheeler
Toews
P1
46.2%
62.3%
P2
56.5%
63.9%
P3
51.2%
62.8%
Final 5 min
61.3%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |