Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Frost 50.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 69.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 68.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 72.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Wheeler
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Wheeler
Frost
Last 5: Wheeler 5-0 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
0
Wheeler
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
0
Wheeler
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
49.4% (3,598)
-2.7%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
55.5% (625)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
52.8% (36)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Frost
Home
47.5% (883)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
44.2% (822)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Wheeler
Frost
P1
45.0%
50.8%
P2
48.2%
51.1%
P3
44.5%
48.5%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |