Blake Wheeler vs Nathan MacKinnon
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 88.7%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 58.6%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 79.3%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Last 7: Wheeler 5-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Wheeler
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
3
0
Wheeler
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
44.4% (743)
+6.2%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
35.7% (70)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
25.9% (27)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Wheeler has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Wheeler is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Wheeler shoots right. MacKinnon is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Home
52.8% (352)
46.4% (394)
Away
46.3% (300)
40.1% (446)
By Period
Wheeler
MacKinnon
P1
46.8%
44.4%
P2
57.7%
38.2%
P3
44.8%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |