Blake Wheeler vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 46.8%). Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 57.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 60.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Last 10: Wheeler 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wheeler
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Wheeler
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wheeler
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
46.1% (11,218)
+0.6%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
53.3% (1,412)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
42.8% (502)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Home
47.5% (883)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
44.2% (822)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Wheeler
MacKinnon
P1
45.0%
47.4%
P2
48.2%
46.6%
P3
44.5%
46.1%
OT
37.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |