Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 75.4%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 73.2%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 72.0%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Wheeler
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Wheeler
Suzuki
Last 8: Wheeler 1-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
5
Wheeler
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Wheeler
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
49.4% (6,327)
-2.7%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
50.7% (1,338)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
43.6% (456)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Suzuki
Home
47.5% (883)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
44.2% (822)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Wheeler
Suzuki
P1
45.0%
48.8%
P2
48.2%
49.1%
P3
44.5%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |