Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Peverley 57.7% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 64.5%
Defensive zone
Peverley 60.6%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 54.1%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Wheeler
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wheeler
Peverley
Last 5: Wheeler 2-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Peverley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Peverley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Wheeler
Peverley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
58.0% (1,715)
-11.3%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
57.0% (391)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
59.2% (333)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Peverley is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Peverley
Home
47.5% (883)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
44.2% (822)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Wheeler
Peverley
P1
45.0%
59.6%
P2
48.2%
57.8%
P3
44.5%
57.0%
OT
37.5%
51.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |