Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 54.3% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+13.5%)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 80.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 76.6%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 50.7%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Wheeler
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (34)
48.8% (404)
+13.0%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
100.0% (1)
-39.3%
On power play, Carpenter has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Wheeler is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Wheeler shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Carpenter
Home
46.2% (26)
48.9% (274)
Away
72.2% (36)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Wheeler
Carpenter
P1
76.9%
51.9%
P2
62.1%
49.4%
P3
50.0%
41.8%
Final 5 min
76.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
61.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%