Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 50.9% vs Johansen 58.2% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 59.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 55.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Wheeler
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (104)
59.8% (625)
-6.0%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
58.2% (196)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.9% (27)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Wheeler is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Wheeler shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Johansen
Home
53.8% (65)
60.3% (436)
Away
49.2% (61)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Wheeler
Johansen
P1
46.2%
61.3%
P2
56.5%
60.4%
P3
51.2%
56.0%
Final 5 min
61.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%