Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 50.9% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 50.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 59.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Wheeler
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (104)
55.3% (628)
-1.5%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
55.1% (216)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
40.2% (87)
-6.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Wheeler is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Wheeler shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Stamkos
Home
53.8% (65)
55.5% (499)
Away
49.2% (61)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Wheeler
Stamkos
P1
46.2%
50.7%
P2
56.5%
53.8%
P3
51.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
61.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%