Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs Jenner 53.9% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 61.0%
Defensive zone
Groulx 60.9%
Neutral zone
Groulx 56.8%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Groulx
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Groulx
Jenner
Last 7: Groulx 3-4 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
0
3
Groulx
Jenner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Jenner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Jenner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
54.5% (6,190)
-8.4%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
55.8% (1,147)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
48.4% (998)
-11.5%
On power play, Jenner has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Groulx is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Groulx shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Home / Away
Groulx
Jenner
Home
49.8% (241)
54.5% (4,051)
Away
38.3% (222)
53.4% (4,284)
By Period
Groulx
Jenner
P1
45.3%
53.7%
P2
44.8%
53.5%
P3
42.9%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | OT | 01:42 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |