Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Groulx wins 35.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.8% vs Lindholm 55.3% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 86.5%
Defensive zone
Groulx 89.2%
Neutral zone
Groulx 86.7%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Groulx
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Groulx
Lindholm
Last 9: Groulx 1-8 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
3
Groulx
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
5
Groulx
Lindholm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (75)
54.8% (766)
-9.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
62.3% (175)
-62.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (24)
52.2% (92)
-27.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +62.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Groulx is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Groulx shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Groulx
Lindholm
Home
53.8% (39)
56.6% (578)
Away
30.6% (62)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Groulx
Lindholm
P1
48.0%
55.2%
P2
36.8%
56.3%
P3
36.8%
56.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
36.0%▼
39.0%
39.6%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |