Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Groulx wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.1% vs Lindholm 53.9% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Groulx 87.1%
Defensive zone
Groulx 90.0%
Neutral zone
Groulx 88.3%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Groulx
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Groulx
Lindholm
Last 10: Groulx 1-9 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
5
Groulx
Lindholm
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
5
Groulx
Lindholm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (393)
53.8% (8,549)
-9.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
59.4% (1,745)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (94)
48.3% (1,619)
-13.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Groulx is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Groulx shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Home / Away
Groulx
Lindholm
Home
50.0% (244)
54.2% (5,980)
Away
36.1% (252)
53.6% (5,933)
By Period
Groulx
Lindholm
P1
45.1%
54.2%
P2
43.9%
54.5%
P3
40.4%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |