Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Groulx wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs Benn 52.9% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 62.2%
Defensive zone
Groulx 86.1%
Neutral zone
Groulx 68.3%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Groulx
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Groulx
Benn
Last 7: Groulx 2-5 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
4
Groulx
Benn
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Benn
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
53.5% (6,450)
-7.4%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
52.5% (2,054)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
49.3% (515)
-12.4%
On power play, Benn has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Groulx is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Groulx shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Groulx
Benn
Home
49.8% (241)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
38.3% (222)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Groulx
Benn
P1
45.3%
51.9%
P2
44.8%
52.6%
P3
42.9%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
62.4%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |