Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Benn 59.9% (-17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 63.4%
Defensive zone
Groulx 84.6%
Neutral zone
Groulx 68.3%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Groulx
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Groulx
Benn
Last 7: Groulx 2-5 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
4
Groulx
Benn
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Benn
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
62.6% (479)
-18.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
58.4% (190)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
58.1% (43)
-14.3%
On even strength, Benn has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Groulx shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Groulx
Benn
Home
49.6% (129)
60.5% (349)
Away
39.0% (146)
62.0% (363)
By Period
Groulx
Benn
P1
43.6%
60.8%
P2
45.0%
60.1%
P3
43.4%
62.4%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
42.6%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.0%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |