Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs Larsson 49.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 54.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 61.0%
Neutral zone
Groulx 50.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Groulx
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Groulx
Larsson
Last 6: Groulx 3-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Groulx
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
50.5% (4,382)
-4.4%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
47.7% (153)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
43.8% (714)
-6.9%
On power play, Larsson has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Groulx is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Groulx shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Groulx
Larsson
Home
49.8% (241)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
38.3% (222)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Groulx
Larsson
P1
45.3%
51.6%
P2
44.8%
49.7%
P3
42.9%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |