Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 46.2%). Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 48.1% vs Larsson 46.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 52.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 73.7%
Neutral zone
Groulx 54.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Groulx
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Groulx
Larsson
Last 6: Groulx 3-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Groulx
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (75)
46.7% (345)
+2.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.1% (18)
-61.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
39.0% (59)
-24.7%
On power play, Larsson has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Groulx is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Groulx shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Groulx
Larsson
Home
50.0% (56)
52.1% (167)
Away
37.0% (27)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Groulx
Larsson
P1
48.0%
50.0%
P2
44.8%
46.7%
P3
44.8%
42.6%
Final 5 min
36.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
45.8%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |