Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 83.2%
Defensive zone
Groulx 72.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Groulx
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Groulx
Draisaitl
Last 6: Groulx 3-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Groulx
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
57.4% (1,010)
-13.7%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
56.2% (331)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
54.5% (110)
-10.7%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Groulx shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Groulx
Draisaitl
Home
49.6% (129)
56.4% (734)
Away
39.0% (146)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Groulx
Draisaitl
P1
43.6%
55.6%
P2
45.0%
62.1%
P3
43.4%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
42.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |