Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 47.0% vs Bourque 46.7% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Bourque 57.5%
Defensive zone
Groulx 55.1%
Neutral zone
Groulx 50.2%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Groulx
Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (65)
47.0% (181)
+2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
25.0% (16)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
42.9% (7)
-15.1%
On power play, Bourque has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Groulx is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Groulx shoots left. Bourque is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Groulx
Bourque
Home
52.8% (36)
41.9% (105)
Away
36.7% (49)
48.5% (99)
By Period
Groulx
Bourque
P1
50.0%
39.7%
P2
40.6%
39.3%
P3
41.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.5%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.1%