Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 44.1%). Groulx wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 52.9%
Defensive zone
Groulx 58.9%
Neutral zone
Groulx 60.8%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Groulx
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Groulx
Sundqvist
Last 5: Groulx 4-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Groulx
Sundqvist
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
0
Groulx
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
0
Groulx
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
44.2% (2,842)
+1.9%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
51.0% (98)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
41.6% (385)
-4.7%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Groulx is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Groulx shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Groulx
Sundqvist
Home
49.8% (241)
44.2% (1,584)
Away
38.3% (222)
44.0% (1,741)
By Period
Groulx
Sundqvist
P1
45.3%
42.8%
P2
44.8%
45.6%
P3
42.9%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |