Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs Dubois 46.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 85.3%
Defensive zone
Groulx 66.7%
Neutral zone
Dubois 50.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Groulx
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Groulx
Dubois
Last 5: Groulx 3-2 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Groulx
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Dubois
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
46.2% (7,002)
-0.1%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
51.3% (606)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
48.1% (108)
-11.2%
On power play, Dubois has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Groulx is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Groulx shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Home / Away
Groulx
Dubois
Home
49.8% (241)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
38.3% (222)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
Groulx
Dubois
P1
45.3%
47.6%
P2
44.8%
45.6%
P3
42.9%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |