Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.7%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.1% vs Horvat 53.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 53.8%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 54.8%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Goodrow
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Goodrow
Horvat
Last 6: Goodrow 2-4 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
3
Goodrow
Horvat
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Goodrow
Horvat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
Horvat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (450)
54.0% (1,606)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
52.9% (308)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (94)
50.0% (104)
-1.1%
On power play, Goodrow has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Goodrow is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Goodrow shoots left. Horvat is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Horvat
Home
58.3% (252)
57.2% (987)
Away
49.8% (299)
50.2% (1,031)
By Period
Goodrow
Horvat
P1
51.7%
53.9%
P2
57.4%
53.7%
P3
52.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
53.7%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |