Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Little 50.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Little leads 25-25 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 59.0%
Defensive zone
Little 57.5%
Neutral zone
Little 60.5%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Horvat
Little
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
25
(50 meetings)
25
25
Horvat
Little
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
7
Horvat
Little
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
13
12
Horvat
Little
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
3
6
Horvat
Little
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Little
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,417)
50.9% (8,646)
+3.0%
Power Play
61.1% (2,637)
55.5% (1,593)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,476)
43.5% (1,406)
+3.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (5,956).
Horvat shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Home / Away
Horvat
Little
Home
56.0% (8,277)
52.9% (5,664)
Away
52.9% (8,254)
48.6% (6,017)
By Period
Horvat
Little
P1
54.1%
50.9%
P2
54.4%
49.6%
P3
54.9%
51.5%
OT
50.4%
49.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
54.4%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Bryan Little |