Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Paquette 48.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 59.8%
Defensive zone
Paquette 62.0%
Neutral zone
Paquette 58.9%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Horvat
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Paquette
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
0
2
Horvat
Paquette
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
0
1
Horvat
Paquette
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Paquette
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
45.2% (197)
+6.9%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
100.0% (2)
-48.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
58.3% (36)
-13.4%
On power play, Paquette has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Paquette is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Horvat
Paquette
Home
53.1% (420)
51.0% (98)
Away
49.8% (428)
45.3% (137)
By Period
Horvat
Paquette
P1
52.4%
44.1%
P2
49.3%
51.2%
P3
52.8%
46.8%
Final 5 min
53.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |