Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paquette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Paquette 48.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 66.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Horvat
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
12
(27 meetings)
15
12
Horvat
Paquette
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Horvat
Paquette
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
3
Horvat
Paquette
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
Paquette
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,417)
49.7% (2,579)
+4.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,637)
55.8% (43)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,476)
42.5% (426)
+4.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,575).
Horvat shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Home / Away
Horvat
Paquette
Home
56.0% (8,277)
50.2% (1,541)
Away
52.9% (8,254)
47.4% (1,507)
By Period
Horvat
Paquette
P1
54.1%
49.1%
P2
54.4%
49.9%
P3
54.9%
47.5%
OT
50.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
54.4%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |