Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paquette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Paquette 50.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 77.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Horvat
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Horvat
Paquette
Last 9: Horvat 6-3 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Paquette
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Paquette
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Paquette
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
51.2% (529)
+5.1%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
58.8% (17)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
46.7% (75)
+2.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Paquette is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Horvat
Paquette
Home
57.3% (742)
51.9% (339)
Away
57.4% (741)
49.6% (282)
By Period
Horvat
Paquette
P1
59.0%
52.7%
P2
59.7%
53.1%
P3
53.6%
47.1%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |