Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Dvorak 52.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 59.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 71.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 64.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Horvat
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Horvat
Dvorak
Last 8: Horvat 3-5 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Horvat
Dvorak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Dvorak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Horvat
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
53.7% (762)
+1.6%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
54.0% (124)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
47.6% (82)
-1.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dvorak
Home
58.2% (469)
53.6% (461)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.9% (507)
By Period
Horvat
Dvorak
P1
59.6%
54.1%
P2
53.1%
52.9%
P3
55.5%
53.8%
OT
55.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
59.6%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |