Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Blackwell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Blackwell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Blackwell 49.3% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 54.5%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 90.6%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 76.4%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Horvat
Blackwell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Horvat
Blackwell
Last 8: Horvat 2-6 Blackwell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Blackwell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
0
3
Horvat
Blackwell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
3
Horvat
Blackwell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Blackwell
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
48.4% (184)
+10.2%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
66.7% (3)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
49.6% (121)
-3.9%
On even strength, Horvat has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blackwell shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Blackwell is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Horvat
Blackwell
Home
59.2% (684)
41.7% (151)
Away
57.0% (635)
56.1% (157)
By Period
Horvat
Blackwell
P1
57.9%
46.5%
P2
55.4%
52.4%
P3
61.5%
48.5%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:04 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |