Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Helm 50.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Helm leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 69.8%
Defensive zone
Helm 77.2%
Neutral zone
Helm 72.4%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Horvat
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Horvat
Helm
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
3
Horvat
Helm
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
2
7
Horvat
Helm
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
3
6
Horvat
Helm
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
51.1% (2,790)
+2.8%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
54.7% (148)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
48.0% (719)
-0.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Home / Away
Horvat
Helm
Home
56.0% (8,355)
51.8% (1,800)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
49.7% (1,877)
By Period
Horvat
Helm
P1
54.1%
49.5%
P2
54.4%
52.8%
P3
55.0%
49.7%
OT
49.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Darren Helm |